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Thursday, November 21st, 2024

Center for Nonproliferation Studies, NTI launch database for Iranian missile tests since 1988

The James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS) recently published a database on the website of the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI) that details all of Iran’s missile and space launch vehicle (SLV) tests since 1988, which marked the end of the Iran-Iraq war.

Specifically, the database has records for all SLVs that could deliver a payload of at least 500 kilograms (1,102.31 pounds) at a distance of at least 300 kilometers (186.4 miles). In total, it documents 126 launches with the most recent launch occurring on July 27, 2017.

The database also provides a map that allows users to view all SLV launches for a specific period of time and is able to detail the rocket type, family, and results of each individual launch.

According to an analysis from CNS research associate Shea Cotton and senior research associate Jessica Varnum, since the negotiation and implementation of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), otherwise known as the Iran Nuclear Deal, Iran has altered its missile testing behavior and decreased the numbers of tests to focus on solid-fueled short-range missile capabilities rather than intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs).

“Although the JCPOA does not place limits on Iranian missile testing, many Western analysts have accused Iran of violating the spirit of the deal by continuing to test missiles and space launch vehicles (SLVs),” the analysts said.

The Iran database follows the recent publication of another database that documents all of North Korea’s missile tests since 1984.

“North Korea epitomizes an illicit nuclear and missile program unchecked by diplomatic limits, pursued by a country that sees itself as having nothing to lose,” the researchers said. “This could have been Iran.”

An outcome, the researchers continued, that is still possible.

“It still could be [Iran] if the international community fails to see how much the Iran nuclear deal has changed the course of the country’s missile program, and this despite the fact that the deal does not officially limit Iran’s missiles,” they said.